Where Else to Put Money: Property, Metals and Factor Funds
Property, strategic metals, factor funds and inflation-linked bonds, mapped against the conditions where each one actually does work — and where each quietly fails.
Property, strategic metals, factor funds and inflation-linked bonds, mapped against the conditions where each one actually does work — and where each quietly fails.
Where Else to Put Money: Property, Metals and Factor Funds
If GPT-class models answered every Google query, would we need a new grid? A first-principles calculation arrives at a smaller, weirder number than most press coverage.
We pulled the citation graph of every machine-learning paper indexed on Semantic Scholar between 2018 and 2025. The shape of influence is more uneven, more delayed, and less correlated with hype than…
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Open-Source AI vs Proprietary Models: Business Models and Developer Trade-offs
ARC-AGI-2 and the BIG-Bench-Hard 2026 refresh quietly shipped two months ago. The headline numbers are uninspiring; the per-category breakdown is genuinely informative about where the field is — and isn't — making…
Three years after RAG became the default architecture for grounding LLMs in private data, the systems shipping in production are quietly being unwound. A look at what's replacing them, and why most…
OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI together announced $51B of FY2026 cap-ex. Their combined annual revenue is approximately $12B. The ratio is unusual but not unprecedented — and the history of comparable spending booms…
A short letter from the editor on what kind of publication this is — what we cover, what we don't, what an article here is allowed to claim, and how to read…
Value Investing in an AI-Dominated Market
If GPT-class models answered every Google query, would we need a new grid? A first-principles calculation arrives at a smaller, weirder number than most press coverage.
We pulled the citation graph of every machine-learning paper indexed on Semantic Scholar between 2018 and 2025. The shape of influence is more uneven, more delayed, and less correlated with hype than the press cycle suggests.
ARC-AGI-2 and the BIG-Bench-Hard 2026 refresh quietly shipped two months ago. The headline numbers are uninspiring; the per-category breakdown is genuinely informative about where the field is — and isn't — making progress.
Three years after RAG became the default architecture for grounding LLMs in private data, the systems shipping in production are quietly being unwound. A look at what's replacing them, and why most of the original promises were architectural illusions.
OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI together announced $51B of FY2026 cap-ex. Their combined annual revenue is approximately $12B. The ratio is unusual but not unprecedented — and the history of comparable spending booms is worth understanding before pricing the equities.